We’re down to the Sweet 16. The last 16 schools alive for the Men’s Division I National Championship.

Fort Worth 1 Region

The #1 seed UConn women’s basketball team is absolutely dominant. They’ll face #4 seed North Carolina while #2 seed Vanderbilt takes on #6 Notre Dame. Notre Dame has history in this tournament. Watch out Vanderbilt. UConn is still the heavy favorite to come out of this region.

Seed School Rank Sweet 16 % Final 4 % Championship %
1 UConn 2 76.787% 54.255% 18.629%
2 Vanderbilt 6 68.812% 28.061% 5.148%
4 North Carolina 16 23.213% 9.978% 1.013%
6 Notre Dame 23 31.188% 7.706% 0.538%

Sacramento 2 Region

My #1 ranked team and #1 seed UCLA takes on #4 seed Minnesota. #2 seed LSU goes against #3 seed Duke in what should be a pretty good game. UCLA is the heavy favorite to come out of this region although LSU could give them a little trouble if LSU can get by Duke.

Seed School Rank Sweet 16 % Final 4 % Championship %
1 UCLA 1 79.389% 56.660% 23.043%
2 LSU 5 61.024% 23.751% 5.125%
3 Duke 12 38.976% 11.398% 1.484%
4 Minnesota 15 20.611% 8.191% 0.880%

Fort Worth 3 Region

Top seed Texas plays #5 seed Kentucky while #2 Michigan takes on #3 Louisville in what should be an interesting matchup. Texas is a strong favorit to come out of this region.

Seed School Rank Sweet 16 % Final 4 % Championship %
1 Texas 3 76.610% 52.689% 16.412%
2 Michigan 7 59.376% 24.247% 4.133%
3 Louisville 13 40.624% 13.493% 1.474%
5 Kentucky 17 23.390% 9.571% 0.850%

Sacramento 4 Region

Top seed South Carolina takes on #4 Oklahoma while #3 TCU takes on the lowest-seeded team left in the tournament, #10 Virginia. South Carolina is the betting favorite to get out of this region.

Seed School Rank Sweet 16 % Final 4 %
1 South Carolina 4 70.663% 52.694%
3 TCU 9 70.904% 25.352%
4 Oklahoma 11 29.337% 16.328%
10 Virginia 39 29.096% 5.626%

Complete Division I Rankings
Simulation Results